Comment on the August 17 prediction: WRONG, as prices reset (yet again) to $3.39, this time on Tuesday.
Friday, August 22, 2025, 2 PM: I don’t know if Tuesday’s price reset was because of issues at our key refinery in Whiting, Indiana, or just a coincidence. Either way, we have been thwarted again in getting that Midwestern average under $3. The hike was more “shallow” than “powerful”, with some stations waiting until the next day, and this morning I have already seen prices below $3.29 at several stations. In my opinion, it is unlikely that there is a second hike above $3.39 in the next few days.
Refinery troubles reduce supply, which causes price spikes. Looking over my old postings, I see we have had July or August refinery issues in 2024, 2023, and 2022, each which kept gas prices elevated at the end of the summer. How about a no-refinery-issues-summer-2026 project? -EA

Seen Shell in Dent near I74 in Cincinnati West Side at $3.499. Most stations are $2.899 to about $3.099 but that will be changing.
Filled up immediately at UDF in Dent for $2.839 including the 6 cent member discount.
No hike at all in Chicagoland this week, even though the “numbers” pointed strongly to one. Sometimes Speedway’s decisions defy my understanding. I do suspect Monday will bring a reset to $3.79. Most Speedways over here are 30-60c below that. We are only a month or so from the start of transition to winter blend.
$3.499 spreading fast in sw Ohio. Thanks BP/Whiting!!
Indy area hike underway to $3.499, led by Speedway, Circle K, and GetGo.
South Bend IN – yesterday $3.49, led by Speedway here also along with Family Express & some others. Plenty with no change yet. Costco $2.98.
Several $3.49s in Anderson Indiana. Daleville Indiana still having a price war at 7 locations. Loving Quick Trip and Wawa building new stations. Got me lazy shopping for the best price for the last several months.
Interesting that Ohio jumped days before Indiana, even though Indiana is closer to Whiting…..
At least 3.49 in Grand Rapids was a weak hike. Was still able to find 3.19 in Wyoming/Kentwood during much of the week. Even Maverik was 3.09 for a while.
$3.59 jump in NW Indiana led by Family Express.