Will Iranian tensions keep gas prices up? IDK.

Comment on the August 11 prediction: Almost CORRECT, as prices rose on August 12, but higher than I had predicted.

Sunday, August 18, 2019, 9:30AM: Based on Friday’s prices in the energy market, we have room to go lower in retail prices. The cheapest I can find near Grand Rapids right now is $2.51 (ignoring the Costco/Sam’s Club discounted prices), but we could easily be in the $2.30’s. The fly in the ointment is the ongoing tension with Iran, such as the oil tanker near Gibraltar this weekend. (Looking back at 21st century gas prices, the highest prices ($4+ a gallon) correlated with tension or war in the Middle East.) Nevertheless, I am going to hold off filling up this week until I have to, looking for cheaper prices.

In other news, look who settled a gas gouging lawsuit in Kentucky this summer. -EA

22 thoughts on “Will Iranian tensions keep gas prices up? IDK.

  1. one or two places in NW ohio area touching 2.35 this weekend which is very close to the trigger point- but a lot of places nearby still above 2.55 which isn’t . could be an interesting week- in the meantime I will continue to enjoy the lowest prices for many months…

  2. Bunch of Stations already below the spike line here in Grand Rapids, also…..I would fill up before Friday, it’s not going too much lower….

  3. Prices jumped 20-25¢ in Isabella County today. I chalk it up to classes starting at Central Michigan University on the 26th. Nice way to welcome new students and their parents to the area!

  4. $0.39/gal. spread in the Toledo area today—don’t remember when they cranked it to $2.759 around here, but it was conveniently timed later at night, and didn’t see the new price until I was at the pump the next morning! ????????

    And right near the I-75 corridor is where the prices are still in the $2.70s, while 1.5 miles away, it’s $2.399! SMH!! ????

  5. South Bend IN – Speedway $2.49 spike. By ND it was down to $2.27 this morning.
    Niles MI Speedway $2.25 still along with WMT & others.

  6. Mildly surprised at a hike to $2.89 today in Chicagoland. Speedway margins (if gasbuddy reports are reliable) were 5-6c better than just before last Wednesday’s hike.

  7. SW Ohio spiked to $2.699 on Thursday. By Sunday it was slightly lower then pre-spike Wednesday. Complete failure.

  8. South Bend IN – Speedway $2.55 spike. By ND it was down to $2.30. SBN avg was $2.379.
    Time to visit Costco for $2.21.
    No change in Niles MI just yet.

  9. Somehow Speedway forgot Chicagoland last week leaving them with an average price at their stations this evening that is 35c below their price hike target meaning chain is losing money selling gas in Illinois right now I don’t feel bad for them, but this does mean a hike is nearly 100% certain Monday and I expect a $2.89.

  10. Oil dropping like a rock today. Time for Screw way to give us a big jump to maximize their profits? Naw they would never do that…

  11. Some of them are trying in Fort Wayne. Saw a handful of 2.69s yesterday and today, but most of them were sticking with the mid 2.40s. Although the west side saw mostly 2.30s, as low as 2.34.

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