Comment on the September 7 prediction: Prices reset to $2.54 on September 9, which is pretty much what I said would happen. CORRECT.
Thursday, September 17, 2009, 6:00PM: Wholesale prices have been pretty quiet, but there was a bit of jump last night, which turned into a price reset to $2.55 today. Hard to see right now what’s next, although we are in better shape than in California, which has been dealing with prices over $3 and supply problems.
Comment on the August 18 prediction: Prices rose on August 20 to $2.59, so the prediction was CORRECT.
Monday, September 7, 2009, 6:00 PM: The past two weeks have been very busy for me, but gas prices have been tame, except for the unusual price adjustment a week ago, where Speedway and others raised prices a few cents, but there was no state-wide reset of prices. That is going to come this week, particularly with gas down to $2.26 this weekend in Lowell. I predict a price hike, perhaps as soon Tuesday, to somewhere in the range of $2.49-$2.59. I know many stations are $2.49 today, so maybe they don’t see a hike, but it is hard to be more precise right now. Looks like I am in agreement with Bill. — Ed Aboufadel
Sorry we haven’t posted on here for so long. It’s for a good reason, though… we haven’t had to. If prices aren’t going up, I usually won’t put a prediction here. But I do still update “Fair Price” threads on GasBuddy.com sites in Indy, Indiana, and Michigan daily. I might start posting something similar on the Gas Game’s Facebook page.
We are in grave danger of a spike, and soon. Michigan’s average is almost 2 cents above the break even point. Indiana is almost 9 cents above. We don’t usually see spikes on Wednesdays, but there is a possibility of one tomorrow. If it doesn’t come, and the bottom doesn’t fall out of the market, it will come on Thursday. I’m a little iffy on a price prediction, but $2.60-$2.75 seems about right in Indiana and Michigan. Since Michigan is paying a premium of 7 cents over Indiana right now, they will be on the high side of that. NW Indiana should see a 10 cent premium over Indiana’s price.
Comment on the August 3 prediction: Prices rose to $2.69 the next day, slightly below the $2.72-$2.82 range I predicted. But, I’ll call it CORRECT regardless.
Tuesday, August 18, 2009, 4:20PM: I spent last week near Cheboygan. Prices were frozen at $2.69 up there all week, while the games continued in Grand Rapids. Let’s see where we are today. Retail prices range from $2.41 to $2.64 right now, according to GasBuddy. NYMEX indicates wholesale prices around $1.88, which leads to a calculation of $2.41 as the 0-cent margin price — of course! So, I think we’ll see a hike before the end of the week, with the new price in the neighborhood of $2.59. — Ed Aboufadel
Comment on Thursday’s prediction: We got a hike on Friday to $2.59. CORRECT.
Monday, August 3, 2009, 2:00PM: Once again, stocks rally and so does energy prices. We are up at least 10 more cents at the wholesale level since Thursday, so another price hike is on its way. Look for retail prices in the $2.72-$2.82 range Tuesday or Wednesday. So, I’m agreeing with Bill! — Ed Aboufadel
Comment on the July 19 prediction: Prices rose twice last week, to $2.45 on 7/21 and then to $2.55 on 7/23. Take the average, and you pretty much have my CORRECT prediction.
Thursday, July 30, 2009, 4:00PM: Uh oh. NYMEX gas prices are up 13 cents a gallon today! Using my formula, a price re-set would be in the range of $2.59-$2.64. I expect this will be the new price on Friday. — Ed Aboufadel