Archive for the 'Predictions' Category

Fill your tanks, my friends

Comment on the October 2 prediction: Prices rose to $3.39, as predicted. CORRECT. Tuesday, October 11, 2011, 6:15PM: The stock market stopped falling and started surging a week ago, so, of course, so have wholesale gas prices. We are set up for a spike to $3.49 on Wednesday or Thursday. Fill your tanks, my friends. [...]

For drivers, September was awesome!

Comment on the September 13 prediction: prices have drifted lower and lower the past three weeks, and we are in the $3.20′s in some places now. The prediction was CORRECT. Sunday, October 2, 2011, 10:00AM: It is the beginning of October, so let’s reflect on where we are at with gas prices. Our last price [...]

The EU will have stimulus, markets are up.

This is why it can be bad for lower prices due to an economic downturn. Once there is hope for recovery, prices rebound. A big rise in market prices (11.5¢ for the Chicago spot) and big drops at the pump mean we are due for a spike. Plan on prices going up tomorrow or Thursday.

Prices should continue to fall, but is that a good thing?

Yesterday’s market drop will be a welcome relief for consumers at the gas pump. The Chicago spot fell more than 12¢ yesterday, and has fallen more than 50¢ from it’s high a few months ago. Instead of seeing $4 gas, we are now getting close to seeing prices below $3 at the pump. But is [...]

Time for consumers to get a break on gas prices

Tuesday, September 13, 2011, 6:50PM:  Now that the summer driving season is over, wholesale prices have started to drop — 36 cents since the end of August, much of it the past few days.  I estimate the 0-cent margin price tonight at around $3.33 (that’s the floor for retail prices), and the cheapest gas in [...]

Prediction: $3.85 for Labor Day Weekend

Wednesday, August 31, 2011, 7:15AM:  I just updated my spreadsheets, and we’ve had noticeable jumps in oil and gasoline futures the past few days, while retail prices have been sinking slowly.  I estimate the 20-cent margin price to be $3.86, so expect a price re-set to $3.85 either today or Thursday. — Ed Aboufadel

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