Archive for February, 2008

Another good DOE report!

Its very good news this time of year when the DOE releases a “favorable” report like they did moments ago at the normal 10:30am time.
Highlights:
Cons:

Refineries operated at a low (albeit slightly higher than last week) 84.7% of capacity last week

Pros:

Crude oil inventories rose by 3.2 million barrels last week. At 308.5 million barrels, [...]

NYMEX traders on another planet?

Comment on February 19 prediction:  So, the day after a price hike, NYMEX prices jump 10 cents, so you’d think we’d get another hike.  No, that would be WRONG.
Saturday, February 23, 2008, 6:45PM:  Estimate of wholesale price using NYMEX:  $2.60.  Estimate using AXXIS:  $2.45.  That’s quite a difference!  The past several weeks, $2.40 on AXXIS [...]

Rumor of expensive gas soon… *not* true (as of yet, maybe in a few months!)

Just got a call asking if I could verify a rumor or not…
We will not be seeing gasoline for $3.85… heck, we won’t even be seeing gas for $3.30 until *maybe* Monday, we’ll see.
Rumors like this seem to start circulating every Spring.
If you *ever* hear of a rumor of a large spike in gasoline- [...]

The DOE report- is it enough to slow down the inevitable?

Before opening the DOE report today, one day later than normal because of President’s Day, I thought how much today’s report could either help or hurt. Well, after reading through all the numbers and descriptions, I think is report is some much needed good news; however, it does not come without some concerns.
My concern: refineries [...]

Yeah, this has the potential to get ugly this week

Comment on February 9 prediction: We did get the hike to $3.09 as predicted. CORRECT. There was another price hike to $3.19 on February 18.
Tuesday, February 19, 2008, 8:45 PM: I am probably the last to the party to make this prediction, but let me agree that there will be another price [...]

$4/gas, $100/oil PREDICTED… Rehike to 3.29+ likely

With wholesale market prices rising almost 10 cents already this morning, we will see another hike this week to 3.29-3.35, depending on if this rally holds, but I expect that it will. In fact, I see another rally tomorrow of this magnitude. I think the only thing that will slow these bulls down is the [...]

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